In Chapter XI of the Charles Dickens classic of 1850, David Copperfield boards at the home of the financially struggling Micawbers. Within no time, Mr Micawber is taken to debtor prison. David visits him and “cried very much”.
Micawber comforts the young orphan and gives him advice: “If a man had twenty pounds a-year for his income, and spent nineteen pounds nineteen shillings and sixpence, he would be happy, but that if he spent twenty pounds one he would be miserable.”
Thus is the origin of the ‘Micawber principle’ of managing personal finances. But this truism about controlling spending is not easy to follow. Too many people are like Micawber as they juggle rent or mortgage payments, child expenses, food costs, utility bills and everything else against their income.
Wilkins Micawber is a fictional character in Charles Dickens's 1850 novel David Copperfield.
Harry Markowitz, however, probably had no trouble following the Micawber principle. The US economist, who died in June aged 95, was awarded the Nobel memorial prize for economic science in 1990 for forging modern portfolio theory.
Markowitz’s accomplishment was to analyse the relationship between risk and reward. He picked that a portfolio’s risk depended on how securities related to one another rather than on the riskiness of each stock or asset. Markowitz’s work led to the insight that asset allocation was the major determinant of a portfolio’s risk, not security selection.
Another of his contributions was to elevate the concept of ‘relative returns’. Before Markowitz, people used to judge performance on whether a portfolio made or lost money. Come Markowitz, the relative test became how securities performed against a benchmark such as the S&P/ASX 200 Index.
Nowadays, the Markowitz concepts of diversification, asset allocation and relative returns and the Micawber advice on income covering spending are everyday investment concepts. So too are terms such as defensive and growth assets, investment goals and risk appetite. Others are compound interest, price-earnings ratios, dividend yields, even capital-gains tax.
What’s a novice investor to make of the terms that plague investing? The most constructive approach might be to attain a rudimentary level of financial literacy. The good news is that it won’t necessarily take that much effort and time to learn the basics. The government and the finance industry including the ASX are trying to make it as easy as possible.
What does it mean to be financially literate? The term can be defined as the ability to make informed decisions about money to help meet financial goals. In practice, this means people need to organise their finances to ensure they can pay for their daily needs. They then should seek to understand how to invest their super and other savings. It doesn’t mean that people need to become experts on company balance sheets, earnings reports, economic theory, trading strategies and valuation techniques, and so on.
What then are the key steps to managing personal finances? The founding principle is actually the Micawber one. If people can’t live within their means, other financial advice would seem redundant.
While people who overspend these days won’t suffer Micawber’s fate, the principle shows that failing to manage day-to-day finances has consequences. A tool to help with managing personal finances is the federal government’s guide found at: moneysmart.gov.au/
Most people seem to successfully manage daily household finances, even when mortgage rates jump as they have done over the past year. That’s no surprise because the Micawber principle is common sense.
Managing super and other savings, however, demands a higher level of financial literacy. To navigate the investment world, people might want to understand concepts such as economic growth, inflation and interest rates. It’s helpful to comprehend how the different asset classes are structured. An equity, for instance, in a tradeable share in the ownership of a company that gives the owner the right to share in the profits of a company. The price of this stake is theoretically based on the worth today of that company’s future profits. A bond can be considered a tradeable loan where the prevailing yield indicates the market value of the loan, which usually offers regular interest payments and is fully repayable.
Financial literacy extends to understanding the risk-and-return profile of each asset class. The fact that bond holders get their money back if they hold these securities to maturity means bonds are less risky than shares. Equities, of course, can even become worthless if a company’s fortunes slump. History shows, however, that share markets may offer better returns over the long term compared to the returns for bonds, although this is dependent on the relevant equity and prevailing economic conditions. Some equities have tended to recover from sudden declines, though, there is no guarantee of this result.
People might want to understand how the state of the economy influences the returns on asset classes. Inflation, for example, introduces the concept of real, or inflation-adjusted, returns, which affect the performance of the asset classes in different ways. Cash returns often fail to keep up with inflation. Inflation erodes bond prices (yields rise) because the real value of future bond payments declines.
It's helpful too to understand the rudiments of portfolio theory. The Markowitz concept that diversifying across asset classes lowers portfolio risk is now a principle of investing – so too is holding a diverse portfolio of stocks rather than just, say, one name. Time has shown the major asset classes of bonds, cash and stocks perform differently across economic conditions. The right mix may steady returns.
Being financially literate can apply at a personal level too. People are advised to consider their investments as a whole – as one portfolio – to ensure proper diversification. They should be able to define their investment goals. Are they saving for a short-term goal such as buying a car? Or do they have a long-term goal because they are saving for retirement?
Compulsory super means that working Australians, especially the younger ones, have by default a long-term goal. After all, they can’t get hold of their money for decades.
Once a time frame is set, then people might want to judge their risk tolerance. One gauge of this is to what extent people might be anxious about their investments going wrong. People who are more risk-averse may be inclined to have a more conservative strategy.
Age can be a factor in risk appetite too. Workers who are closer to retirement often choose a more conservative strategy. They want to minimise the risk their investments will decrease in value just before they are eligible to access them.
Another form of financial literacy is understanding the psychology behind investing. Studies show that people are often hurt by losses more than they enjoy gains. The trap for investors here is that short-term ‘noise’ can prompt people to sell in falling markets, rather than take a long-term view. Some may hold the view that selling when prices are falling could result in missing out on a rebound in prices. Google: ‘Time in the market rather than timing the market’ to find examples of how some of the best-performing days on share markets occur after a big drop.
When can people judge themselves to be financially literate? Competent investors can define investment goals based on their risk tolerance, recognise the importance of diversification, understand the differences of asset classes, shut out noise to focus on long-term performance and take the time to do proper research before making investment decisions. They are usually humble enough to seek advice, if only to ensure their strategies (including the tax implications) are aligned to their circumstances.
Savvy investors would may say that becoming financially literate can enhance investment returns and lead to financial independence. Since nearly everyone has finances to manage and super to invest, everyone should attain a basic level of financial literacy. As well as being financially worthwhile, people might even find it’s fun.
Becoming financially literate doesn’t guarantee investment decisions will end well. There are an unlimited number of risks that can hamper even sound strategies. Financial literacy is best seen as a prudent way to approach money, not a proven path to riches.
Dickens seems to have been financially literate as well as literate. The reason why might be that the Mr Micawber character was based on his father, a government clerk who was imprisoned for debt.
ASX is a central player when it comes to financial education and offers a range of resources. Some of our clients have online resources to help investors. Here is a guide to some of the best sites:
ASX
asx.com.au/investors/investment-tools-and-resources
Federal government
Brokers
commsec.com.au/education/commsec-learn.html
nabtrade.com.au/education/education-centre
Investment managers
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